Wake Forest
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
27  Samantha Jones SR 19:36
233  Ellie Abrahamson JR 20:25
947  Kathryn Lazarchick JR 21:31
1,004  Jenna Truedson FR 21:34
1,014  Catherine Allen SO 21:35
1,213  Elizabeth Parrish FR 21:50
1,304  Beatrice Boylan FR 21:56
1,328  Gabrielle Merritt JR 21:57
1,389  Isabelle Harouche FR 22:02
1,512  Sarah Fahmy JR 22:10
National Rank #66 of 339
Southeast Region Rank #7 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.8%
Top 10 in Regional 42.1%
Top 20 in Regional 99.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Samantha Jones Ellie Abrahamson Kathryn Lazarchick Jenna Truedson Catherine Allen Elizabeth Parrish Beatrice Boylan Gabrielle Merritt Isabelle Harouche Sarah Fahmy
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 899 19:30 20:28 21:43 21:34 21:29 21:36 21:58 22:36 22:12
Princeton Inter Regional 10/03 929 19:58 20:24 21:16 21:35 21:50 21:51 22:04
Wake Forest Invitational 10/16 1084 20:24 20:59 21:32 22:06 21:46 21:54 22:00 22:11
ACC Championships 10/30 923 19:40 20:29 21:31 21:42 21:43 21:43 22:45 21:58 21:45
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 912 19:20 20:31 22:39 21:27 22:15 22:08 22:05
NCAA Championship 11/21 19:38





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 11.3 357 0.0 0.8 2.8 6.2 9.3 10.1 12.8 12.6 11.6 10.7 8.7 5.4 4.1 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Jones 90.0% 33.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.5 2.0 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.6
Ellie Abrahamson 0.3% 131.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Jones 4.9 9.9 10.8 10.3 10.1 9.7 8.9 6.8 6.6 5.3 4.2 3.3 3.1 2.3 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Ellie Abrahamson 29.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.6 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.5 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.1 3.6 3.8 4.1
Kathryn Lazarchick 103.2
Jenna Truedson 108.7
Catherine Allen 109.4
Elizabeth Parrish 135.1
Beatrice Boylan 144.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.0% 0.0 4
5 0.8% 0.8 5
6 2.8% 2.8 6
7 6.2% 6.2 7
8 9.3% 9.3 8
9 10.1% 10.1 9
10 12.8% 12.8 10
11 12.6% 12.6 11
12 11.6% 11.6 12
13 10.7% 10.7 13
14 8.7% 8.7 14
15 5.4% 5.4 15
16 4.1% 4.1 16
17 2.3% 2.3 17
18 1.5% 1.5 18
19 0.6% 0.6 19
20 0.2% 0.2 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 0.0% 0.0 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0